Lawrence North
Boys - Girls
2000 - 2001 - 2002
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State Rank #3
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 11.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 93.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.2%
Advance to State Finals 99.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
1  Nef Araia 11 15:27
14  Jeff Vyain 12 16:02
44  Casey Abston 12 16:30
62  Tony Freije 12 16:38
James Stewart 11 17:08
Robert Jackson 12 17:17
Marcus Phelps 11 17:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.3% 3.2 145 11.2 19.9 26.4 26.9 9.1 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.0 81 12.1 20.7 27.4 34.0 5.2 0.7 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 23 99.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 23 99.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 100% 1.0 64.1 18.7 8.1 4.0 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jeff Vyain 99.7% 13.2 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.6 5.1 5.4 5.8 5.7 5.5 4.9 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.6 62.9% 98.9%
Casey Abston 99.3% 44.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.3 0.0% 41.8%
Tony Freije 99.3% 57.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0% 17.2%
James Stewart 99.3% 102.4 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Jackson 99.3% 115.9 0.0% 0.0%
Marcus Phelps 99.3% 134.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 100% 1.0 87.1 9.5 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jeff Vyain 100% 4.7 8.3 13.4 17.1 17.0 13.8 9.4 6.8 4.6 3.0 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Casey Abston 100% 16.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.2 3.7 4.4 5.0 4.8 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.0 100.0%
Tony Freije 100% 22.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.6 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 99.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 100% 1.0 100.0 100.0%
Jeff Vyain 100% 1.5 97.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Casey Abston 100% 3.1 0.1 46.9 25.1 13.4 6.9 3.8 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Tony Freije 100% 4.7 9.1 25.6 22.3 15.6 10.5 6.9 4.1 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 1.0 100.0
Jeff Vyain 1.5 97.9 2.0 0.1 0.0
Casey Abston 3.0 0.2 51.5 27.1 12.3 5.2 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Tony Freije 4.3 0.0 11.0 31.6 24.6 15.7 8.3 4.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0